| ECONOMIC ASSESSMENTS OF ALTERNATIVE METHODS
Understanding the overall economic implications of alternative farming
systems requires research at several levels, including individual components
of crop and livestock enterprises, whole-farm studies, and national and
international analyses.
Traditionally, most evaluations of the economic impact of adopting alternative
farming practices have focused principally on the cost and returns of adopting
a specific farming method.
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Many studies at the farm level have estimated the economic benefits of
integrated pest management (IPM), crop rotations, and manure management
options
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Such studies generally assume no other changes in the farm operation, input
or output, or prices
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These studies fall into a broader literature on farm management that employs
partial budget analysis techniques
Fewer studies have considered the impact of alternative farming
systems on the economic performance of the whole farm.
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Most aggregate studies are flawed in their methods and assumptions regarding
the effectiveness of alternative systems and the impact of commodity policy
on farm management.
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The common approach has been to compare conventional farming practices
with the economic performance of a similar farm, assuming total withdrawal
of certain categories of farm inputs
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These studies usually assume or project substantial reductions in per acre
yields in many crops and then project the effect of these reductions in
the context of strong export demand and limited commodity supplies.
Economic Studies of Farming Practices
Economic analyses of single enterprises or their components usually
employ partial budgeting techniques that estimate the change in production
costs, profits, and risks accompanying a specific change in farming practice.
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Results are often expressed as a change in the net return over cash production
costs per acre or per unit of output
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Partial budget studies focus on short-term net returns, including labor,
and generally do not take into account off-farm impact or long-term changes
in the productivity of the natural resource base.
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They assume no change in farm size, enterprise combinations, prices of
commodities or inputs, or other variables
Whole-Farm Analysis of Alternative Methods
Frequently, a farming method that appears profitable when analyzed at
a component level may prove less attractive from the perspective of the
whole farm, particularly in relation to other possible practices or combinations
of practices.
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Analysis at the whole-farm level recognizes that a farmer's decision to
adopt one or more farming practices is not made in isolation from the rest
of the farm enterprise.
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The most important factor in adopting any management system or combination
of crops is the net return to the farm family.
The successful commercial farmer must assess the compatibility of
proposed alternative practices with other practices already in place, taking
into account a farm's physical and biological resources and anticipated
changes in crop yields, livestock productivity, production costs, farm
programs and policy, and labor and machinery requirements.
Whole-farm studies typically use one of two approaches:
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Linear budget (risk programming) or
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Overall farm surveys
Partial and whole-farm analyses can take a short- or long-term perspective.
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For short-term analyses, some resources and technologies are assumed fixed,
and management decisions are made among existing alternatives.
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Long-term studies are more complex and difficult because many more variables
are changeable, including technologies and policies.
A critical need in terms of technological trends and policy changes
is how these trends and changes are likely to influence the relative costs
and benefits of various farming systems. For example:
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Biotechnology could increase technological options in support of alternative
agriculture systems, and that society's environmental and public health
goals will tend to support producers successfully adopting these technologies.
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Farm surveys are based on empirical measures of the performance of agricultural
production systems.
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It is often difficult to draw cause and effect inferences from surveys.
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Experimental data on alternative agricultural systems are clearly lacking,
and relatively few well-designed surveys have been undertaken.
The Transition to Alternatives
Most economic studies of alternative production at the whole-farm level
take a static approach, ignoring the year-to-year difficulties associated
with the transition from one system to another. Moreover, the assumptions
used generally ignore uncertainty stemming from the weather, crop yields,
management skills, prices of inputs and products, government policies,
and other variables.
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As a result, these studies must be interpreted cautiously
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These studies recognize that a farm's economic performance can change significantly
during a multi year evolution from conventional to alternative practices
Many factors can influence the economic performance of farms during
the transition to alternative practices.
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The use of certain kinds of pesticides and fertilizers may have disrupted
natural predators and other biota.
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Although crop rotations will generally increase yields, decrease pesticide
costs, and, in the case of legumes, decrease fertilizer costs, the full
benefits of crop rotations may take several years to materialize
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Depending on the prices of farm commodities and inputs, adoption of a rotation
sometimes reduces net farm income, particularly during the initial years
of a transition
Farmers may also need a few years of experience to acquire the additional
knowledge and
management skills necessary for more diversified operations.
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The economic impact of a farmer's decision to change from conventional
to alternative farming methods on all or part of a farm operation will
vary depending on factors such as climate, soil type, crops and livestock
produced, cropping history of the farm, the farmer's skills, and many other
considerations
Because of these factors, most farmers adopt alternatives gradually.
Although the transition may be difficult, successful alternative systems
tend to reduce variability of net returns.
Comparative Regional Cost of Production
Production cost per unit of output is one of the most important short-term
measures of the economic performance of an agricultural operation, production
system, or sector. Comparing per unit production costs for a given
crop by region is a good indicator of regional absolute advantage-or the
inherent suitability of an area or farm for the profitable production of
a given crop.
Another common measure--production costs per acre-is widely used in
comparative analyses. This measure, however,
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Differs significantly from per unit production costs
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Per acre costs do not take into account the actual yields harvested
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They reflect the level of inputs applied on a per acre basis
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Consequently, per acre production costs do not as accurately reflect the
productivity of a cropping system or an area for a particular crop.
For example, farmers in highly productive corn-growing regions generally
use more fertilizer and other inputs per acre because they can afford it
based on the high yields they will achieve, not because the area is unsuited
to corn production.
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Per bushel costs are good indicators of an area's suitability for production
of a given crop
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Costs expressed on a per bushel basis show that it requires far less cash
expenditure to produce a bushel of corn or soybeans in the Corn Belt-Great
Lakes region than in the Southeast.
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Diverse soil types, climates, and levels of pest infestation, often account
for large regional differences in per unit costs for a given crop, despite
fairly similar per acre production costs.
Increased efficiency and lower per unit production costs are essential
for agricultural producers to remain competitive in domestic and international
markets. Alternative systems can often help achieve these goals.
To better understand the role and viability of specific alternative agriculture
systems, however, far greater knowledge of regional differences in production
costs, their variability, and their causes is needed. Such understanding
will help.
Methods for Comparing Production Costs
A variety of farm accounting systems and methods can be used to calculate
per acre and per unit production costs.
These data show:
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Low-income farms incur per unit production costs nearly twice those of
high-income farms ($3.66 versus $1.87 per bushel).
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The yields on low-income farms are about 9 percent less than on the high-income
farms even though the per bushel production costs are almost double.
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All variable costs per acre were greater on the low-income farms.
The per acre differential was greatest for machinery hire ($5.57), fertilizer
($7.53), machinery repair ($6.02), and herbicides and insecticides ($5.28).
Alternative Agriculture and Production Costs
Alternative production systems are designed to enhance beneficial biological
interactions and improve economic performance through better nutrient management
and pest control. When successfully adopted, most alternative systems
greatly influence fertilizer and pest management costs.
Production cost analyses can yield important insights into the economic
and environmental performance of farming systems. Studies based on
actual farm records for operations within a given region appear particularly
promising. More in-depth assessments designed to distinguish features
of low-cost farms, in contrast to high-cost farms, could guide agricultural
researchers and extension specialists toward the most important technical
and managerial factors underlying profitability.
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Within a given region for a specific crop, average production costs per
unit of output on the most efficient farms is typically 25 percent less,
and often more than 50 percent less, than average costs on less efficient
farms. There is a great range in the economic performance of seemingly
similar or neighboring farms.
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Average production costs per unit of output also vary markedly among regions,
although not as dramatically as among individual farms.
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High-income and low-cost farms are often larger. The causes and effects
of this, however, deserve study.
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Certain variable production expenses -machinery expenses, pesticides, fertilizers,
and interest charges (excluding land) -account disproportionately for differences
in per unit production costs.
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